Wikinvest Wire

Monday, March 23, 2009

The Future of Infrastructure

In this weekend's video I did a brief recap of my time with the Macquarie Infrastructure Trust (MIC) and what has happened with a couple of their CEFs in this bear market.

A reader asked how should the infrastructure theme be accessed given how badly the Macquarie products have done. The reader presumes that the theme is worth allocating to and I agree.

There are several ETFs but they each target different areas within the space. The SPDR FTSE/Macquarie Global Infrastructure 100 ETF (GII) is 90% utilities and so tracks closely with that sector. The PowerShares Emerging Markets Infrastructure Portfolio (PXR) is 40% materials and perhaps confusingly has non emerging market stocks in it (a company that sells to emerging market countries can be included). The iShares S&P Global Infrastructure Index ETF (IGF) is mostly an even mix of industrials and utilities with a little pipeline thrown in. Included in IGF are some of the cash flow segments like toll roads and airports. I use IGF in some portfolios.

IGF is down a lot, but less in the trailing twelve months than the Industrial Sector SPDR (XLI).

One way to buy in, but not what I am doing or will do in the future, would be to use GII as a proxy for utilities, PXR for materials and IGF for industrials (IGF has tracked much closer to industrials than utilities). All three funds track their corresponding sectors closely enough that I think they are suitable sector proxies with the hope of outperforming whenever the theme starts to matter.

I think of this as something to unfold over most of a decade like emerging markets were in the oughts (or if you prefer the naughties). In looking ahead like that I believe that the theme will be best captured by including individual stocks into whatever you do. IGF and PXR include a lot of stocks that will build the roads or provide the technology needed for any sort of project but they aren't that heavy in the cashflows that the engineers and systems company will be creating. Actually IGF has about 25% in these stocks. For now, building the stuff is probably more important than the cashflow from the finished product but that will not always be the case.

Just a couple of thoughts about the tourney. There were some great games, especially late Friday night, the Gonzaga/WKU game on Saturday and all three late games on Sunday but up to this point there seems to be fewer great games. Does anyone else think Bill Raftery and Vern Lundquist should be the network's announcing varsity instead of Jim Nantz and Clark Kellog? While I am biased here, Nantz and Kellog are like dry toast.

Finally news from Walker; there is a movie shoot in the house three doors down from us. They have been in pre-production there for a couple of days, including an electrician coming out the other day. A friend who knows about these things said with all of that it probably is not low budget, I have no idea. Joellyn asked one of the people what kind of movie and he said horror but Joellyn said that the way he said it made her think it was another genre if you, um, know what I mean.

13 comments:

Anonymous said...

Raftery and ANYBODY makes sense. He is a great color man.

As the new Treasury plan unfolds, it would be useful for you to keep an eye on how your readers might invest (or not invest) in toxic assets. There will be big government subsidies to get private money to buy up these assets. The early word is that mostly hedge funds will be the buyers and, hopefully, the winners in this program if indeed it is successful. However, will there be ways for small investors to buy in? It is obviously too early to know whether or not this is a good investment idea, but it is something many of your readers will want to follow.

Norm

Stephen Drone said...

I think whichever team has Jay Bilas is the varsity.

Come on. Kellogg is lame but Raftery?

"He's down the lane eck then JUST A LITTLE (hiccup) KISS grumble OH! grumble ack ack (throat clearing)

Roger Nusbaum said...

Jay Bilas? A lot of people dislike him, there are Facebook groups devoted to disliking him. My buddy V can't stand him. In one of his games on Saturday he gushed over Raftery

Stephen Drone said...

That's his style.

If Kellogg does the championship game it'll only be because he's teamed with Nance, who's been there. Bilas is the face guy. He's been the college hoops front man for a while.

Oh lord. I just noticed Kellogg has been doing the North Carolina games. We may get stuck listening to his lameness in the title game.

Roger Nusbaum said...

it is Nantz and Kellog, period. I wish it weren't but when Packer was let go Kellog was made the man.

Anonymous said...

Time for a fire inspection three doors down.

Right Roger?!

Roger Nusbaum said...

lol

retiredinprescott said...

Roger, Given your past comments about the positive benefits of working even in retirement, have you thought about signing onto this movie as an extra? Then we could see you in more than just your Saturday videos and think of how it would expand your resume....

Roger Nusbaum said...

I will be zombie number 7--not to be confused with any mid tier zombie banks.

Larry Nusbaum said...

Clearly, you have made this photo a bit out of focus as a metaphor for how people can lose focus on their in investment portfolios in troubled times. I get it. Simply brilliant, Roger, brilliant...

Tim said...

Hmmm, I recall reading something about the adult film industry and that it is a tax benefit for those renting their home to them since xyz amount is tax free if the terms are xyz long? I may be messing ups something there - but I am at work and hesitant to google adult film industry and vactaion tax breaks! I wish Siena could have held on!

Roger Nusbaum said...

Sienna beating L'ville might would have been one of the top five upsets ever.

"Double order of onions."

Anonymous said...

"Joellyn asked one of the people what kind of movie and he said horror but Joellyn said that the way he said it made her think it was another genre if you, um, know what I mean."

Please keep your dogs safe:-)

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